The Verdant 360 Blog

It is very difficult to get a measured, intelligent and well articulated point of view on the potential impacts pro and con of Waxman-Markey. So it was a pleasure and surprise to read “Will the Global Warming Bill Cool the Global economy?” on Forbes.com. The articles author, Nouriel Roubini does an excellent job of describing the impacts and the cost estimates of cap and trade ( the key and probably most controversial aspect of the bill) on a sector by sector basis. He also assess alternatives and places the bill in the context of the upcoming conference of global leaders in Copenhagen that will produce the follow-up to the Kyoto accords. If you are unclear about what the bill is or is not, this is a great starting point and a great read.

-FR

climate change cap and trade, Nouriel Roubini, Waxman-Markey

With the release of his new budget, President Obama has reinforced his commitment to reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions (GHG)’s. Although the mechanisms for quantifying and report  GHG emissions are still being debated, we are clearly moving in the direction of carbon footprint reporting. This is setting the stage for a true cap and trade scenario. According to his budget, Obama is projecting that cap and trade will amount to $300 billion in tax revenue by 2022 and that by 2012 the cap and trade program will begin to have budgetary impact.

What this all means for business leaders is that we will need to be prepared to address this scenario. Although 2012 seems a long way off, particularly given the current economic challenges, the complexity of the issue is such that we need to prepare now. Indeed House Energy and Commerce Committee Chairman Henry Waxman has brought forth legislation which he vows to have approved by Memorial Day that will limit carbon emissions. The Bill entitled The Safe Climate Act of 2007 (H.R.1590) has set very specific targets.

The Safe Climate Act freezes U.S. greenhouse gas emissions in 2010, at the 2009 levels. Beginning in 2011, it cuts emissions by roughly 2% per year, reaching 1990 emissions levels by 2020. After 2020, it cuts emissions by roughly 5% per year. By 2050, emissions will be 80% lower than in 1990. These goals are comparable to emissions reduction goals adopted by many states and called for by leading American companies, small businesses, religious organizations, environmental advocates, and others

The bill is supported by GE’s Jeffrey Immelt and Duke Energy’s Jim Rodgers both of whom endorsed the legislation at a session with the committee in January and lays the groundwork for a cape and trade program.

It is not surprising that many business leaders are not focusing on the issue of trade at the moment. Given that many businesses are simply striving to survive the current economic crisis, it may not seem a priority. However, the fact remains that should the legislation pass as promised by Memorial Day, it leaves businesses 6 months to quantify there 2009 carbon footprint and prepare to meet or lower them for 2010. Building on the assumption that the economy turns around and economic activity increases, businesses will almost certainly have to have a plan to lower emissions just to meet their 2009 emissions.

-FR

Carbon Footprint cap and trade, Carbon Footprint, carbon offsets, GHG's, green